The difference between climate and temperature is important:
There’s a related misconception: many seem to think that if we can’t get weather forecasts right, we can’t possibly predict the climate. Not surprisingly, if weather and climate are very different things, the methods and tools used to predict them are equally different. We’ve gone into the differences in detail in the past, but the difference is what you’d expect based on the difference between weather and climate: it’s very hard to predict the specific state of a complex system over longer time periods, but nowhere near as difficult to get a sense of what its general outlines are likely to be.