Reagan’s Tax Hikes

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Ronald Wilson Reagan, Fortieth President (1981-1989)

Reagan, raiser of taxes.

Reagan’s Tax raises during a recession would qualify him as a president who was an idiot, and engaged in class war fare according to elected Republicans, Tea Partiers and 2012 GOP hopefuls.

Everyone remembers Reagan’s 1981 tax cuts. His admirers are less likely to tout the tax hikes he accepted as the 1981 recession and his own tax cuts began to unravel his long-term fiscal picture–a large tax increase on business in 1982, higher payroll taxes enacted in 1983 and higher energy taxes in 1984. A decade later, when a serious recession and higher spending began to upend the fiscal outlook again, the first President Bush similarly raised taxes on higher-income people in 1991; Bill Clinton doubled down and raised them again in 1993.

via Even Reagan Raised Taxes – Forbes.com.

The no taxes at all costs platform is just stupid and cynical fiscal posturing.

Phillies Sweep the Braves

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It feels good to read this:

A few words from Braves catcher Brian McCann:

“We knew what we were getting into coming in here. We knew who they were pitching. We’ve all faced them before and they’ve all got great stuff. They executed every pitch and when they got themselves in trouble, they got out of it. That’s what number ones do and all three of those guys are number ones.”

via The Zo Zone: Magic Number Is 4.

4 more wins to clinch the NL East.

Contrasts in American Consumption

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First, a blurb about consumers from the lowest income brackets as astutely seen by Wal Mart US CEO Bill Simon (from the WSJ):

“And you need not go further than one of our stores on midnight at the end of the month. And it’s real interesting to watch, about 11 p.m., customers start to come in and shop, fill their grocery basket with basic items, baby formula, milk, bread, eggs,and continue to shop and mill about the store until midnight, when electronic — government electronic benefits cards get activated and then the checkout starts and occurs. And our sales for those first few hours on the first of the month are substantially and significantly higher.

“And if you really think about it, the only reason somebody gets out in the middle of the night and buys baby formula is that they need it, and they’ve been waiting for it. Otherwise, we are open 24 hours — come at 5 a.m., come at 7 a.m., come at 10 a.m. But if you are there at midnight, you are there for a reason.”

via Watching Wal-Mart at Midnight – Real Time Economics – WSJ.

Now life firmly entrenched in the top income brackets for a family earning 8 times the median household income (the 99th percentile) as dissected by Brad DeLong

Now it is time for a reality check on this “most working Americans.” The median household income in the United States today is $50,000. Half of all households make more than this. Half of all households make less. The big expenses in the Xxxxxxxxx family budget–their $60,000 a year in contributions to tax-favored retirement savings vehicles, their $25,000 a year savings building home equity, their $55,000 for housing, their $60,000 in private school costs, even their $10,000 a year for new cars–are simply out of reach for the overwhelming majority of Americans. Half of all households make less than $50,000 a year–the Xxxxxxxxxs make nine times that. 90% of households make less than $100,000 a year–the Xxxxxxxxx’s make 4.5 times that. The Xxxxxxxxx’s are solidly in the top 1% of American households, in the select 1% group that receives more than $350,000 a year.

By any standard, they are really rich.

But they don’t feel rich. They have a cash flow problem. When the bills are paid at the end of the month, the money is gone–and they feel that they have to scrimp.

I know how they feel. My household income is of the same order of magnitude than theirs (although somewhat less) and we too had to juggle assets quickly when it developed that an error in Reed College’s housing system had caused them not to charge us $5,000 that we owe. We too have chosen to put our income in places (tax-favored retirement savings vehicles, building equity, housing, private college costs) where we think it is better used than $200 restaurant meals, $1000 a night resort hotel rooms, or $75,000 automobiles. But I don’t think that I am not rich.

Professor Xxxx Xxxxxxxxx’s problem is that he thinks that he ought to be able to pay off student loans, contribute to retirement savings vehicles, build equity, drive new cars, live in a big expensive house, send his children to private school, and still have plenty of cash at the end of the month for the $200 restaurant meals, the $1000 a night resort hotel rooms, and the $75,000 automobiles. And even half a million dollars a year cannot be you all of that.

But if he values the high-end consumption so much, why doesn’t he rearrange his budget? Why not stop the retirement savings contributions, why not rent rather than buy, why not send the kids to public school? Then the disposable cash at the end of the month would flow like water. His problem is that some of these decisions would strike him as imprudent. And all of them would strike him as degradations–doctor-law professor couples ought to send their kids to private schools, and live in big houses, and contribute to their 401(k)s, and also still have lots of cash for splurges. That is the way things should be.

But why does he think that that is the way things should be?

And here is the dirty secret: Professor Xxxx Xxxxxxxxx thinks that that is the way things should be because he knows people for whom that is the way it is.

via In Which Mr. Deling Responds to Someone Who Might Be Professor Xxxx Xxxxxxxxx – Grasping Reality with Both Hands.

This reminds me of this point/counterpoint from The Onion.

Woodward’s “Obama’s Wars”

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President Barack Obama meets with his national security team on Afghanistan and Pakistan in the Situation Room of the White House, June 23, 2010. Seated at the table are, from left, General David Petraeus, head of US Central Command, Admiral Michael Mullen, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, Vice President Joe Biden, the President, National Security Advisor Gen. James L. Jones, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, Deputy National Security Advisor Tom Donilon, and John Brennan, Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)

Woodard’s new book Obama’s Wars aims to expose the Obama Administration’s inner workings.

The most explosive revelations, however, center around the Obama’s decision last year to send 30,000 more troops to Afghanistan but set a controversial July 2011 timeline for beginning to withdraw — an awkward compromise that Woodward’s sources seem eager to portray as very much the president’s own. And Bob’s got the goods: Obama, who comes across as deeply skeptical about the war and overwhelmingly concerned with finding an “exit strategy” rather than winning, personally dictated a six-page “terms sheet” outlining the conditions under which he was sending the troops. Woodward describes a tense Nov. 29, 2009, meeting where the president demanded that each participant read it and raise any objections “now.” According to the Post, “The document — a copy of which is reprinted in the book — took the unusual step of stating, along with the strategy’s objectives, what the military was not supposed to do.”

As Woodward describes it, the memo represented Obama’s attempt to keep the military from boxing him in and pushing to escalate the U.S. involvement in Afghanistan (a storyline we’ve heard before, though with fewer details). At one point, Woodward says, Obama told military leaders, “In 2010, we will not be having a conversation about how to do more. I will not want to hear, ‘We’re doing fine, Mr. President, but we’d be better if we just do more.’ We’re not going to be having a conversation about how to change [the mission] … unless we’re talking about how to draw down faster than anticipated in 2011.” It’s not clear just who’s boxing in whom at the moment, though. The Post remarks on the irony that Petraeus has been tasked with implementing a strategy with which he clearly does not fully agree, but the general has been pretty savvy about thus far about establishing that the withdrawals will be “conditions-based.”

Obama told Gates and Clinton at another meeting that he didn’t want to stay in Afghanistan for a decade: “I’m not doing long-term nation-building. I am not spending a trillion dollars.” He also made a similar remark to Lindsey Graham, telling the South Carolina senator, “I can’t let this be a war without end, and I can’t lose the whole Democratic Party.”

Republicans are going to have a field day with this one.

via Woodward strikes again | FP Passport.

Elected Republicans are going to have a field day with this one and Democrats may just be glad to hear that the President doesn’t want an open ended commitment to the Afghanistan War.

Vick over Kolb

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The big NFL news is from my Philadelphia Eagles as they pick Vick over Kolb to start this Sunday. I guess Andy Reid looked at the game tape and saw a Vick the NFL hasn’t seen before. One QB who was able to pass (not just throw) and still had enough of that jaw dropping speed (even after a prison bid) that leaves defenders looking like they are running with lead shoes.

Summers…out

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Direct from Whitehouse.gov:

WASHINGTON – Dr. Lawrence H. Summers, Director of the National Economic Council and Assistant to the President for Economic Policy, announced his plans to return to his position as University Professor at Harvard University at the end of the year.

Dr. Summers is the chief White House advisor to the President on the development and implementation of economic policy. He also leads the President’s daily economic briefing.

“I will always be grateful that at a time of great peril for our country, a man of Larry’s brilliance, experience and judgment was willing to answer the call and lead our economic team. Over the past two years, he has helped guide us from the depths of the worst recession since the 1930s to renewed growth. And while we have much work ahead to repair the damage done by the recession, we are on a better path thanks in no small measure to Larry’s wise counsel. We will miss him here at the White House, but I look forward to soliciting his continued advice and his counsel on an informal basis, and appreciate that he has agreed to serve as a member of the President’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board,” said President Obama.

via Dr. Lawrence H. Summers, Director of the National Economic Council, to Return to Harvard University at the End of the Year | The White House.

Tax Cuts for earnings up to 250K…no matter who earns it

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Ezra Klein explains the Obama “Tax Cuts for the middle class” aka partial Bush tax cut extension are actually a tax cut for everyone.

Obama’s “tax cuts for the middle class” aren’t actually tax cuts for the middle class. They’re tax cuts on all family income up to $250,000. So if you make $300,000 a year, you’re getting a tax cut on $250,000. That’s a serious tax cut!

via Ezra Klein – Tax cuts for the middle-class are also tax cuts for the rich.

Why are any reporters in the locker room?

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The NY Jets players and staff heckling/harassing Inez Sainz leads me to ask: why the hell do any reporters need to broadcast or record reports in the locker room? I think everyone at home will be just fine waiting for the players to get fully dressed after athletic competition before they answer questions from the media.

It would be better for all sports industry professionalism if recording and/or broadcasting interviews of any kind from the locker room became a thing of the past. Video courtesy ABC News outlining the controversy with an interview with Sainz below:

Goolsbee to CEA

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Longtime economic advisor Austan Goolsbee has been appointed as head of the CEA to replace Christina Romer.

Despite his pedigree from the historically conservative University of Chicago, Republicans aren’t likely to cheer his stance on taxes. During the 2008 presidential campaign he strongly backed the president’s plan to increase taxes on those earning more than $250,000 a year. Meanwhile, much of his academic research has attempted to counter arguments that tax cuts pay for themselves and that raising taxes on high-income individuals reduces long-term government revenue.

At the same time, Goolsbee has been an advocate of free trade. During 2008, he took some lumps when a Canadian government memo surfaced, citing Goolsbee saying that Obama statements on scaling back the North American Free Trade Agreement amounted to “political positioning.” Obama took a hit from then-opponent Hilary Clinton, but many economists were relieved.

via Who Is Austan Goolsbee? – Real Time Economics – WSJ.

Taxes. That’s the battle we fight now and one of the better features of Goolsbee becoming a higher profile figure is that he is solid on TV. If you have been paying attention the last three Augusts, you know that’s way more important than it should be. Here is Goolsbee on Rachel Maddow discussing the expiration of Bush’s Tax Cuts and the Obama Middle Class (<$250K income) tax cut.

China’s UN Rep “keeps it real”

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What do you get when you mix Chinese UN Diplomat Sha Zukang and an open bar? A Scene from the new Bravo show “Real Diplomats of the United Nations”:

The outburst by Sha Zukang at a retreat for top UN officials in the Austrian ski resort of Alpbach left senior UN officials cringing in embarrassment as others tried to convince him to put down the microphone, according to Washington-based Foreign Policy magazine.

“I know you never liked me Mr. Secretary-General – well, I never liked you, either,” said Mr Sha as Mr Ban looked on, smiling and nodding awkwardly during the 15-minute toast attended by the UN’s top brass.

Mr Sha, who was appointed the UN undersecretary general for Economic and Social Affairs in 2007, also made no secret of his fractious relationship with Mr Ban, although did say he’d grown to respect the South Korean.

“You’ve been trying to get rid of me,” said 62-year-old Mr Sha according to the senior UN official present, “You can fire me anytime, you can fire me today.”

Later in his impromptu speech Mr Sha turned to an American colleague, singling out Bob Orr, from the executive office of the secretary-general.

“I really don’t like him: he’s an American and I really don’t like Americans,” he said.

via China’s UN diplomat in drunken rant against Americans – Telegraph.

He then went on to tell the ambassador from India that he wasn’t “all dat”.

The Bad News

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Barry Riholtz invites David Rosenberg to deliver the bad news at The Big Picture. Headline: It’s A Depression.

Finally, you know it’s a depression when, 33 months after the onset of recession…

• Wages & Salaries are still down 3.7% from the prior peak

• Corporate profits are still down 20% from the peak

• Real GDP is still down 1.3% from the peak

• Industrial production is still down 7.2% from the peak

• Employment is still down 5.5% from the peak

• Retail sales are still down 4.5% from the peak

• Manufacturing orders are still down 22.1% from the peak

• Manufacturing shipments are still down 12.5% from the peak

• Exports are still down 9.2% from the peak

• Housing starts are still down 63.5% from the peak

• New home sales are still down 68.9% from the peak

• Existing home sales are still down 41.2% from the peak

• Non-residential construction is still down 35.7% from the peak

via IT’S A DEPRESSION | The Big Picture.

Oher: Turns his back on “The Blind Side”

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Apparently, Michael Oher doesn’t care for the movie based on the Michael Lewis book about his transition from impoverished teen to DI football phenom:

Baltimore tackle Michael Oher has been invited to appear on Oprah twice. He’s been invited to the Academy Awards. He’s been asked to be in the audience at the ESPYs.

No, no, no and no.

Seems Oher is not very happy with how he was portrayed in The Blind Side movie. He thinks he was made to look like a simpleton who knew nothing about football before he was picked up off the Memphis streets and taken to live with a wealthy family. Seems he has no interest in furthering that public image, so he’s concentrating on one thing: being a football player.

via Brad Childress has no regret after begging Brett Favre to return – Peter King – SI.com.

This reminded me of the AV Club review of the film:

Sports movies have a long, troubled history of well-meaning white paternalism, with poor black athletes finding success through white charity. But The Blind Side, based on Michael Lewis’ non-fiction book, finds a new low. In the character of “Big Mike” (real life success story Michael Oher, played by Quinton Aaron), a poor, undereducated teenager later groomed into a top-tier offensive lineman, the film suggests a gentle, oversized puppy in need of adoption. (The family that takes him in literally picks him up from the streets during a rainstorm, like a stray. All that’s missing are the children pleading, “Mom, can we keep him?”) Given his background and 0.6 GPA, there’s no question that Oher was well behind his peers, but casting him as a big-hearted simpleton makes him seem subhuman, more mascot than man.

via The Blind Side | Film | Review | The A.V. Club.

Microbes survive a year of space exposure

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From BBC News:

Bacteria taken from cliffs at Beer on the South Coast have shown themselves to be hardy space travellers.

The bugs were put on the exterior of the space station to see how they would cope in the hostile conditions that exist above the Earth’s atmosphere.

And when scientists inspected the microbes a year and a half later, they found many were still alive.

These survivors are now thriving in a laboratory at the Open University (OU) in Milton Keynes.

The experiment is part of a quest to find microbes that could be useful to future astronauts who venture beyond low-Earth orbit to explore the rest of the Solar System.

via BBC News – Beer microbes live 553 days outside ISS.

Climate Change: real. Climate Policy: not.

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Depressing.

The Arctic is warming twice as fast as the rest of the planet, and this summer its sea ice is melting at a near-record pace. The sun is heating the newly open water, so it will take longer to refreeze this winter, and the resulting thinner ice will melt more easily next summer.

At the same time, warm Pacific Ocean water is pulsing through the Bering Strait into the Arctic basin, helping melt a large area of sea ice between Alaska and eastern Siberia. Scientists are just beginning to learn how this exposed water has changed the movement of heat energy and major air currents across the Arctic basin, in turn producing winds that push remaining sea ice down the coasts of Greenland into the Atlantic.

Globally, 2010 is on track to be the warmest year on record. In regions around the world, indications abound that earth’s climate is quickly changing, like the devastating mudslides in China and weeks of searing heat in Russia. But in the world’s capitals, movement on climate policy has nearly stopped.

Democrats in the Senate decided last month that they wouldn’t push for approval of a climate bill. In Canada, Australia, Japan and countries across Europe, the global economic crisis and other near-term concerns have pushed climate issues to the back burner. For China and India, economic growth and energy security are more vital priorities.

Climate policy is gridlocked, and there’s virtually no chance of a breakthrough. Many factors have conspired to produce this situation. Human beings are notoriously poor at responding to problems that develop incrementally. And most of us aren’t eager to change our lifestyles by sharply reducing our energy consumption.

via Op-Ed Contributor – Near the North Pole, Looking at a Disaster – NYTimes.com.

Utterly depressing.

Why does this seem so familiar?

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Doesn’t this “The Secret” crap just seem like Byrne wants to get in on her own Scientology type organization at ground zero?

Remember that book The Secret from a few years back? It was a “think positive thoughts and everything will turn out alright” self-help/spirituality manuals that Oprah promoted. Its Peter Pan philosophy also made it highly controversial.) Well, today the book’s author, Rhonda Byrne, released her follow up to The Secret called The Power.

via THE POWER – VBS STAFF | VBS.TV Blog.